Gujarat General (Lok Sabha) Election Exit Poll 2019

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Remember the Date - 19th May 2019 - 6 P.M.

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Out of the 52 candidates fielded by main contenders BJP and Congress in Gujarat, 25 are not even graduates, while in one seat the most qualified nominee, a doctor, is pitted against a Class 5 dropout. As per details furnished by candidates in their nomination forms, BJP's Surendranagar seat nominee Mahendra Munjpara holds a doctorate degree in general medicine while his main rival, Congress' Soma Patel, dropped out of school after Class 5. Mr Munjpara is contesting the Lok Sabha polls for the first time, while Soma Patel is a three-term MP, who also won the 2017 state Assembly election from Limbdi.

Out of the 25 non-graduates, 14 have been nominated by the BJP and 11 by the Congress. Among these 25, four of the Congress and one of the BJP did not complete their matriculation. BJP's sitting MP Kirit Solanki, who is again contesting from Ahmedabad (West) seat, its Valsad seat nominee KC Patel and Congress' Bardoli seat candidate Tushar Chaudhary hold MBBS degrees. Two candidates, Parbat Patel and Bharatsinh Dabhi, contesting on BJP's ticket from Banaskantha and Patan seats, respectively, are lawyers.

Besides, BJP's Mitesh Patel and Congress' Bharatsinh Solanki, both contesting from the Anand seat, are qualified engineers. BJP's Kheda seat nominee Devusinh Chauhan and Bardoli candidate Prabhu Vasava also hold engineering degrees. BJP's Panchmahal seat nominee Ratansinh Rathod and Dahod candidate Jaswantsinh Bhabhor are B.Ed (Bachelor in Education) degree holders. Besides, two candidates of the BJP and five of the Congress are commerce graduates. As per the nomination forms, BJP's Bhavnagar candidate Bhartiben Siyal holds a BAMS (Bachelor of Ayurvedic Medicine and Surgery) degree while Congress' candidate from the same seat, Manhar Patel, has done a diploma in agriculture.

Total 573 candidates have filed their nominations in the state.

Gujarat Opinion Poll for Lok Sabha Elections 2019 by Various Pollsters

Gujarat Exit Poll 2018

As the tenure of the current legislative assembly in Gujarat expires in January 2018, assembly elections in the state was held Dec 09 and Dec 14, 2017. The BJP had won convincingly in the 2012 assembly elections while the Congress was the runner-up. The Patel community has emerged as an important component of the state's electorate over the last couple of years because of Hardik Patel's agitation and this is something that the main opposition Congress in the state is trying to bank upon. Needless to say, losing Gujarat to Congress would be a big setback for the BJP ahead of the Lok Sabha election 2019 which it will try to avoid at all costs.

A number of pollsters and media agencies have conducted Gujarat exit polls and opinion polls surveys to make an estimate of voters' sentiments and understand which party is in a better position to win the 2017 Gujarat Assembly elections.

Gujarat Election 2017 Opinion Poll by ABP News-Lokniti CSDS Survey held on August 2017

The ABP-Lokniti election polls survey released in the month of August 2017, reveals that the BJP might come to power again in the state of Gujarat in the Upcoming Gujarat Elections 2017. The polls conducted forecast that BJP would emerge victorious with as many as 144-152 seats. The Indian National Congress is likely to get 29-32 seats. The opinion poll result shows that BJP, which has been in power for two decades, might continue its legacy. As per the poll, BJP is likely to do well in all parts of the state, including Saurashtra and Kutch regions where it is expected to get 65 percent votes. In terms of the Chief Minister of the state, 24 percent of the voters want Vijay Rupani in the position, while 7 percent want Narendra Modi to be back in the state. 2 percent voted in favor of chief Amit Shah and 43 percent of the voters preferred not to choose any names. On the question of the performance of the former Chief Minister Anandiben Patel and the incumbent Vijay Rupani, 34 percent voted for Rupani and 17 percent for Patel. 43 percent did not take any names.

Gujarat Election 2017 Opinion Poll by Indiatrendingnow held on October 2017

While the BJP is projected to get 47% of the vote share, the Congress' projection is 40% and the AAP just 2%. A snap poll by Indiatrendingnow conducted between 15 and 25 October 2016 has predicted a bigger voting share for BJP. According to it, the BJP is going to get 51.8% of the vote share, the Congress 26.3% and AAP 9.9%.

Survey by the Gujarat state unit of Congress

An internal survey by the Gujarat state unit of Congress in September, 2016 has revealed that the BJP may win 97 of the 182 seats in the 2017 Gujarat assembly elections. The survey goes on to say that the Congress may win a maximum of 85 seats. Sources quoting the report noted that the BJP would certainly get 52 seats mostly in urban areas and had 80-85% chance of winning another 45 seats.

RSS internal survey Result on Gujarat Election 2017 Exit Poll

The RSS also conducted an internal survey in August 2016 to gauge voters' sentiments following the Dalit agitation in Una. The survey threw up disappointing results for the ruling BJP in Gujarat. The party was projected to win about 60 to 65 seats out of the total 182 seats in the state assembly.

Gujarat Opinion Poll by VDP Associates

According to a survey conducted by VDP Associates, ruling party BJP is in a slightly better position than the Congress to win the elections.


Opinion Poll of Other States Election

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